CT 2017 Final: India’s batting versus Pakistan’s bowling, again

After 14 matches among eight teams across 15 days, we are finally down to two teams – India and Pakistan. India were almost a certainty to make it, considering their all-round skills, and have lived up to the expectations barring a blip against Sri Lanka. Pakistan, on the other hand, started off in the worst possible manner with a defeat against India before clawing their way back with some gutsy performances riding on their stronger suit – the bowlers.

Which team starts at the pole position? Here’s a look into what the numbers suggest ahead of the crucial battle, or as the cliche reads – the mother of all battles – on Sunday (June 18) at the Oval.

Head-to-head

13-2 India’s win-loss record against Pakistan in ICC tournaments (including wins in one-over eliminators) – the most any team has beaten an opposition in ICC events. India has won the last seven head-to-head encounters between the two sides in these events with Pakistan’s last win coming way back in Champions Trophy 2009.

7-3 Pakistan lead India seven wins to three losses in the finals of ODI tournaments. Nine of these were at neutral venues – one in Melbourne and four each in Sharjah and Dhaka. The only time these two teams faced off in an ODI final in this century was in Dhaka in 2008 when Pakistan got the better of India by 25 runs.

Where Played Ind won Pak won Tie/NR
Overall in ODIs 128 52 72 4
ODIs since 2000 50 25 25 0
ICC events 15 12 2 1
Champions Trophy 4 2 2 0
ODIs in England 4 3 1 0
ODI Finals 10 3 7 0
Powerplays

1 Wickets lost by India in the powerplay overs – the joint-fewest by any team along with South Africa. However, the dot ball percentage during this phase for the Indian batsmen is very high – 63.90 – with only Bangladesh having a poorer figure (73.75%).

4.19 Economy rate of India’s bowlers in the first ten overs this tournament – the lowest among all teams. They concede a boundary every 11.00 balls which is bettered only by Pakistan – boundary every 11.67 deliveries.

102 Runs scored by Fakhar Zaman in the powerplay – the joint-most by any player with Shikhar Dhawan. Among those who have faced at least 25 balls at this stage of the innings, Zaman has the highest strike rate (127.50), lowest dot-ball percentage (47.50%) and the best balls-per-boundary ratio (4.44).

27.50 Balls-per-boundary ratio conceded by Imad Wasim in the powerplay overs – the best for any bowler with a cut-off of five overs. Among the six bowlers with an economy rate of less than four at this stage, he is the lone spinner (3.93). His is the only wicket by a spinner in the opening ten overs.

3.57 Jasprit Bumrah’s economy rate in the first ten overs – the second-lowest among all bowlers after Tim Southee’s 3.54 (minimum of five overs). 71.01% of his deliveries were dots which places him in the second best position after Morne Morkel (72.73%). Though very accurate, Bumrah doesn’t have any wickets in the powerplays to show for.

Most runs in the first ten overs of CT17

Player Runs Dis Avg SR Dot% BPB
Fakhar Zaman 102 1 102.00 127.50 47.50% 4.44
Shikhar Dhawan 102 0 93.58 58.72% 7.27
Rohit Sharma 88 1 88.00 73.33 66.67% 8.57
Martin Guptill 78 1 78.00 104.00 56.00% 5.77
Alex Hales 80 2 40.00 102.56 57.69% 6.50
Niroshan Dickwella 67 2 33.50 93.06 56.94% 8.00
Azhar Ali 75 1 75.00 60.98 70.73% 13.67
Middle overs

95.35 Strike rate of Indian batsmen between overs 11 and 40, easily the highest among the eight sides. They have lost only six wickets at this stage in comparison to Pakistan’s 17 – the fewest and most in the tournament respectively (minimum of two completed innings). Pakistan’s average of 27.06 per wicket is the lowest and they face the highest share of dots in these middle overs – 55.52%.

17 wickets taken by Pakistan bowlers between overs 11 and 40 is the most by any team. These 17 scalps have come at an average of 30.71 and an economy rate of 4.34 – both being the best in the competition. India is the next best in terms of wickets taken by bowlers – 14 – in addition to the five run-outs they effected during this period.

13 Legspinners have prized out 13 scalps in the middle overs at 35 and conceded only 5.07 runs per over. The other two kinds of spinners have fared far worse taking only ten wickets in more than double the number of overs. Interestingly, Shadab Khan is the only legspinner from both the squads, who might feature in the final.

Hasan Ali has led the bowling attack for Pakistan with ten wickets in the competition

Hasan Ali has led the bowling attack for Pakistan with ten wickets in the competition © Getty
10 Hasan Ali has been the leading wicket taker of the competition with ten scalps so far. Six of these have come in the middle overs. With a minimum of ten overs in this period, Hasan Ali has been by far the best bowler heading the list on all parameters – average of 13.00, economy of 3.12, dot ball percentage of 59.33 and balls-per-boundary ratio as high as 37.50. However, in the opening game against the arch-rivals, 70 runs were scored off his ten overs which included 40 off his last three.

317 Shikhar Dhawan is the leading run-getter of the tournament with 317 runs so far. 192 of these runs have come in the middle overs at a strike rate of 103.23. He has hit 26 boundaries in this period with one every 7.15 balls.

Most wickets in overs between 11 and 40 in CT17

Player Balls Wkts Avg SR ER Dot% BPB
Hasan Ali 150 6 13.00 25.00 3.12 59.33% 37.50
Nuwan Pradeep 129 6 19.83 21.50 5.53 47.29% 11.73
Ravindra Jadeja 203 4 45.50 50.75 5.38 44.83% 11.28
Junaid Khan 48 4 4.75 12.00 2.38 64.58% 0.00
Imran Tahir 109 4 20.00 27.25 4.40 54.13% 12.11
Death overs

187.27 Strike rates of Indian batsmen in overs 41 to 50 – the best in the competition, well ahead of the tournament par strike rate of 116.13 in the death overs. 11 out of the 28 sixes hit in this phase are by India and they have a ball-per-boundary ratio of 3.44, less than half of the tournament average of a boundary every seven balls. Meanwhile, Pakistan has faced only 29 deliveries in this period.

192.32 Virat Kohli’s strike rate between overs 41 and 50 – the best by any batsman in the competition (minimum of 25 balls). He has scored 50 runs off 26 balls without getting dismissed, hitting five boundaries and three sixes. MS Dhoni has scored 41 off 27 balls in the same phase during his only outing with the bat against Sri Lanka in the tournament.

50.82 Bumrah’s dot ball percentage in the death overs – the best for any bowler with at least four overs. Bhuvneshwar Kumar is the next best with 44.23%. As a result, both the bowlers have economy rates of well under six – 5.61 for Bumrah and 5.77 for Bhuvneshwar.

Batsmen at various phases

Phase India       Pakistan      
  Avg SR Dot% BPB Avg SR Dot% BPB
Overs 1-10 192.00 79.67 63.90% 8.31 63.67 79.58 62.92% 8.57
Overs 11-40 112.67 95.35 44.85% 9.21 27.06 78.10 55.52% 12.53
Overs 41-50 51.50 187.27 26.36% 3.44 NA 117.24 34.48% 5.80
Bowlers at various phases

Phase India       Pakistan      
  Avg ER Dot% BPB Avg ER Dot% BPB
Overs 1-10 42.25 4.19 62.40% 11.00 65.00 4.78 58.37% 11.67
Overs 11-40 43.07 5.22 43.72% 13.08 30.71 4.34 49.31% 21.24
Overs 41-50 28.00 5.96 47.52% 7.83 32.25 6.76 37.12% 8.81
3 Number of times Junaid Khan has dismissed Virat Kohli across 22 balls bowled to him, conceding just two runs in five ODIs. No other Pakistan bowler from their squad of 15 has dismissed Kohli in ODIs.

69.75 Average opening partnership for Pakistan this series which is the highest for them in a rubber outside Asia other than Zimbabwe (minimum of three stands). Their opening stands read 47, 40, 74 and 118 – the first time they have had four successive 40-plus first-wicket stands outside Asia.

42.98 Average runs per wicket in the five matches at the Oval so far – the highest among the three venue – at 5.59 runs per over, slightly behind 5.62 in Edgbaston. Four out of the nine hundreds in the competition so far were scored at the Oval.

81.12 Strike rate of Indian batsmen in the knockout matches of ICC ODI events – the highest among all teams. Their 34 fifty-plus scores (six hundreds) is the joint most with Australia. The only Pakistan player to score a hundred in an ICC ODI event knockout game is Saeed Anwar, who scored three.

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