Big Bash League 2016-17: Qualification Scenarios

Points table

Played Won Lost Points NRR
Brisbane Heat 7 5 2 10 0.589
Melbourne Stars 7 4 2 8 0.547
Perth Scorchers 7 4 3 8 0.331
Sydney Sixers 7 4 3 8 -1.062
Melbourne Renegades 7 3 4 6 0.041
Sydney Thunder 7 3 4 6 -0.097
Hobart Hurricanes 7 3 4 6 -0.179
Adelaide Strikers 7 2 5 4 -0.178
Sydney Thunder vs Adelaide Strikers

Sydney, 18 Jan 2017

Sydney Thunder need a lot of results to go their way in order to make it to the top four.

  • A loss to Adelaide Strikes would mean the end of the road for Sydney Thunder in the tournament.
  • A win would take Sydney Thunder’s points tally to eight but they have no chance of finishing in the top two.
  • A win should be sufficient for them to go through provided Sydney Sixers, Melbourne Renegades and Hobart Hurricanes lose their remaining matches.
  • If Thunder score 160 and win by 66-plus runs or chase down 160 with 44 balls to spare, they will end up with a better net run-rate than Perth Scorchers. This would improve Thunder’s chance of qualifying should Scorchers lose their last match there is a tie at eight points among multiple teams.
  • Adelaide Strikers are already out of the reckoning
Brisbane Heat vs Melbourne Renegades

Brisbane, 20 Jan 2017

  • Brisbane Heat have already qualified for the knockouts but a win against Renegades can ensure a top-two spot and a home semi-final.
  • If Heat lose, Scorchers and one among Stars or Sixers can pip them of the top-two slots by winning their last match with large margins. However, Heat have the highest NRR among these four teams.
  • Renegades stand eliminated if they lose.
  • Even a win is not enough for Renegades to qualify as there exists a possibility of a four-way tie with eight points should Thunder and Hurricanes win their last games.
  • They will qualify if Sixers, Thunders and Hurricanes lose their respective games.
Hobart Hurricanes vs Perth Scorchers

Hobart, 21 Jan 2017

  • A win for Scorchers would ensure their progress and halt Hurricanes’ journey to knockouts.
  • With a big win, Hurricanes can squeeze their NRR past Scorchers and put themselves in a good position if a tie in points ensues.
  • Should that not happen, they would need both Renegades and Thunder to lose their matches and hope Stars beat Sixers or Stars lose to Sixers by a small margin so that they can pip Sixers on NRR.
Melbourne Stars vs Sydney Sixers

Melbourne, 21 Jan 2017

  • The winner of the match will definitely qualify for the knockouts but their final standing will depend on the results of Heat and Scorchers in their last matches.
  • This being the last game of the league stage, both teams will have the equation cut out in front of them for a top-two finish.
  • If Renegades, Thunder and Hurricanes lose their respective matches, both teams get qualified before the match begins and could well turn out to be a direct shootout for a top two spot.
  • Sixers have the lowest NRR among the eight teams which makes it important for them to win this match should other results not go their way.

Leave a Reply

Fill in your details below or click an icon to log in: Logo

You are commenting using your account. Log Out /  Change )

Google photo

You are commenting using your Google account. Log Out /  Change )

Twitter picture

You are commenting using your Twitter account. Log Out /  Change )

Facebook photo

You are commenting using your Facebook account. Log Out /  Change )

Connecting to %s